BRIEFING
HOW TO START REDUCING THE PRISON POPULATION
July 2018
Dear Rory,
Thank you so much for coming to speak to CJA members in May and articulating your determination to address some of the prison service’s most pressing operational challenges. The present level of the prison population in England and Wales is clearly one of the most significant of those challenges.
We are encouraged by the recent small reduction in the prison population. Increasing the Home Detention Curfew caseload has been an effective way to start to reduce some of the pressure on our heavily overcrowded prison system and providing a managed transition for prisoners into the community. But more must be done.
You said at our recent Members Meeting that you’d be happy to receive suggestions on how the prison population might be reduced, without compromising public safety. Possibilities for this in eight areas are enclosed.
None of these proposals is revolutionary. They’re almost all both pragmatic and incremental. Many could be effected without legislation. Their implications for a reduction in the prison population of some 12,000 during the lifetime of this parliament are based on conservative assumptions.
Any such reduction in the prison population also offers the possibility - based on similarly cautious estimates – of saving £900m of public money. The attached schedule details these savings.
We hope these suggestions – based on knowledge shared by many of the CJA’s member organisations – will be helpful. Thank you for asking us to share them with you. We look forward to continue working with you to support efforts in reducing the prison population.
1. IPP Sentences
The current IPP (Sentences of Imprisonment for Public Protection) population stands at nearly 2,900.1 Almost 90 per cent of these prisoners have served beyond the tariff deemed necessary as appropriate punishment for their offences.2 Without further intervention, the Parole Board acknowledges this figure may reduce to 1,500 by 2020. But this number remains unacceptably high, and the Government could be more ambitious in its approach, ensuring the IPP prison population reduces to less than 500 prisoners by 2022. (Net saving allowing for costs of external supervision £202.2m.)
In our view, the Ministry of Justice should consider legislative intervention to convert post tariff IPP sentences to determinate sentences – a simple solution providing firm release dates.
As CJA member Prison Reform Trust highlights, people serving IPP sentences have one of the highest rates of self-harm in the prison system. Providing a clear release date may help reduce this rate.
As a minimum starting point, the 459 IPP prisoners serving tariffs of less than two years could have their sentences converted, expanding to the 1,176 IPP prisoners with tariffs of less than four years,3 then scaled up appropriately. A ‘sunset’ provision could also provide a release date for some or all post-tariff IPP prisoners by a particular year or by a number of years post-tariff.
In the meantime, the availability of courses conditional for the release of IPP prisoners must continue to be prioritised.
Once IPP prisoners are released, much more needs to be done to ensure that they do not return to prison. There is growing concern about the number of people serving IPP sentences who are recalled following release – currently over 800 prisoners.4 Nearly two thirds of those currently recalled are re-released following review by the Parole Board.5 This may necessitate a review by the Ministry of Justice of the licence conditions in the Prison Instructions. Further, people serving IPP sentences are often deeply institutionalised and require intensive independent advocacy support to facilitate their resettlement in the community. Many CJA members provide this type of support, but further investment is needed.
2. Recall
On any given day in 1995, there were fewer than 200 people in prisons for recalls. In March 2018 there were over 6,000.6 Over half – 58 per cent – of these had not been charged with a further offence, and were instead recalled for other licence breaches, such as failure to keep an appointment on time, or drugs and alcohol issues.7 And many people ‘recalled’ to prison did not receive a custodial sentence in the first instance.
1 Table 1.9a, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice. 2 Table 1.9b, Ibid. 3 Ibid. 4 Table 1.9a, Ibid. 5 Jones, M. (2017) IPPs, recalls and the future of parole, available at http://www.russellwebster.com/martinjones2/ 6 Table 1.1, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice. 7 Page 12, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender management statistics quarterly: October to December 2017 and annual 2017, London: Ministry of Justice.
There is little doubt that the extension of post-sentence supervision to those sentenced to less than 12 months has contributed to the rise in the recall population.8 Further, new Sentencing Council guidelines for sentencing breaches (effective from1 October 2018) will have custody as a starting point for even minor breaches. It is recognised that this ‘could have an impact on the prisons, with more offenders being sent to custody than at present’.
9 Recalls are costly interventions that interrupt the effective reintegration of former prisoners. The Ministry might review both the standard and extra licence conditions that Offender Managers can impose, as well as the mechanism for recalling a person following breach, emphasising that recall should be preserved for those presenting a serious risk to the public or genuinely failing to progress towards reintegration.
But the best way to prevent an unnecessary recall is to ensure there is no breach in the first place, by providing effective rehabilitative support. Unfortunately, as highlighted in the Justice Committee’s recent review, probation services are critically underperforming and the effectiveness of Transforming Rehabilitation is in serious doubt.10 Securing accommodation is particularly problematic, especially for young people leaving custody,11 and recalls cause critical disruption to an already challenging process.
Recognising that there will be some situations where someone may need to be recalled where there has been no further offence, keeping even 3,000 people out of prison and in the community where productive rehabilitation can take place could save £231.8m net over four years.
3. Remand
Those on remand – 9,200 people – now represent over ten per cent of the prison population.12 One in seven – nearly 1,400 – go on to receive non-custodial sentences.13 Ensuring this cohort is not needlessly kept in prison could save £39.9m annually.
The numbers are particularly stark for those remanded in custody and tried in the Magistrates’ Courts – of the 22,300 defendants annually, a quarter are acquitted and a third receive a non-custodial sentence.
The Legal Aid Sentencing and Punishment of Offenders Act 2012 properly introduced a test of ‘no real prospect’ where remand should not be sought for an un-convicted defendant where there is no real prospect of a custodial sentence. CJA Member Transform Justice has noted that the law is largely satisfactory and compliant with international standards. However, in practice its implementation results in many defendants being remanded when other alternatives are or should be available.
14 The Crown Prosecution Service, defence advocates and judges should ensure this test is applied much more rigorously. Greater use of electronic monitoring might also be considered as an alternative to remand.
8 Page 14, HM Inspectorate of Probation (2018) Thematic Inspection: Enforcement and Recall, Manchester: HM Inspectorate of Probation. 9 Page 13, Sentencing Council (2018) Breach Offences: Sentencing Guideline – Final Resource Assessment, London: Sentencing Council. 10 Justice Committee (2018) Transforming Rehabilitation [HC 482], London: House of Commons. 11 Page 3, Drummond C. and Gill A. (2018) ‘Have you got anybody you can stay with?’ - Housing options for young adults leaving custody, London: Nacro and Centrepoint.
12 Table 1.1, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice. 13 Table Q4.4, Ministry of Justice (2018) Criminal Justice System statistics quarterly: December 2017, Overview tables, London: Ministry of Justice. 14 Transform Justice (2018) Presumed innocent but behind bars – is remand overused in England and Wales? London: Transform Justice.
4. ‘Sentence Creep’
Average sentence length for prisoners held for indictable offences is 30 per cent higher than ten years ago, up from 15.2 months to 20.15 There is no firm evidence that this ‘sentence creep’ has had any deterrent effect.
If average sentence lengths had remained the same as in 2007 just for drug offences, fraud and theft, there would be approximately 2,000 fewer people in prison,16 saving £57m annually. (Research by data analysts Justice Episteme suggests that had sentencing policy for serious offences remained the same since 2003, there would be 16,000 fewer people in prison.
17) Change in this area will need to be incremental and the effects are unlikely to be seen immediately (unless changes are applied retrospectively to those already serving inflated sentences, such as an early release to electronic monitoring for low-risk prisoners). But without changes to sentencing practices, there seems little prospect of the vast bulk of the prison population reducing.
More scrutiny could usefully be applied to the creation of sentencing guidelines by the Sentencing Council in the context of stretched prison resources and the effectiveness of custodial sentences. For instance, sentencers might be encouraged to sentence more creatively, restricting the requirements to use the upper limits of guidelines and allowing them to sentence below the lower limit.
In 2017, the Sentencing Council admitted that increased severity of sentences for nondomestic and aggravated burglary offences ‘may be attributable’ to the introduction of the guideline for these offences.
18 The Council has committed to reviewing this guideline, but as a priority, it should also commit to greater investment in assessing the impact of all guidelines, particularly those for high-volume crimes.
5. Short Sentences
At March 2018, 5,340 prisoners in England and Wales were serving sentences of less than 12 months.
19 Short sentences are demonstrably less effective than community sentences at reducing recidivism (and more costly). Justice Secretary David Gauke has recently recognised this, stating that short sentences should be a last resort. Short-Sighted, a campaign by CJA member Revolving Doors, highlights that half of all people sentenced to custody are serving sentences of less than 6 months.
Scotland introduced a presumption against custodial sentences of three months or less in 2010, and last September announced plans to extend this presumption to sentences of less than 12 months. Other countries with similar provisions include Belgium and Germany.
20 15 Page 23, Ministry of Justice (2018) Criminal Justice Statistics quarterly, England and Wales, 2017, London: Ministry of Justice. 16 Table Q5.2C, Ministry of Justice (2018) Criminal Justice System statistics quarterly: December 2017, London: Ministry of Justice.
17 Hadjipavlou, S. (2017) The Impact of the Criminal Justice Act 2003 on the Prison Population, London: Justice Episteme, available at http://www.prisonreformtrust.org.uk/Portals/0/Documents/Bromley%20Briefings/What%20if%20there%20was %20no%20CJA%202003.pdf 18 Sentencing Council (2017) Assessing the impact of the Sentencing Council’s Burglary offences definitive guideline, London: Sentencing Council.
19 Table 1.1, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice. 20 Sanderson, D. (9 February 2016) ‘Experts: scrap jail for sentences of up to one year’, The Herald, available at http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14262298.Experts__scrap_jail_for_sentences_of_up_to_one_year/
There may be certain instances for which this presumption against a custodial sentence would not be deemed appropriate given the interests of, and risks to, the victim and wider community. But if reductions occurred at a similar rate as in Scotland, there would be 2,000 fewer people in prison. Introducing a presumption against short sentences of less than 12 months could save £57m annually.
6. Mental Health
There is currently insufficient data to accurately measure the number of people in prison suffering from poor mental health. But as recently as 2016, the Centre for Mental Health estimated that 90 per cent of the prison population have mental health problems, personality disorders, or substance misuse problems.
21 The 2009 Bradley Review found an estimated 2,000 prison places per year could properly be saved if individuals who receive short custodial sentences and who may be experiencing mental health problems were instead given a community sentence. This would save £57m. For many people with mental health issues, a community order with a Mental Health Treatment Requirement (MHTR) would be transformative and the prison estate, in any case, is all too often entirely inadequately equipped either to treat them or address their offending behaviour.
In order to effect any such change, sentencing guidelines on MHTR would need to be strengthened. CJA member JUSTICE has also called for a Sentencing Guideline on mental health and vulnerability to be created. Despite revised guidance issued by the Ministry of Justice four years ago, there has not yet been a significant increase in the use of MHTRs, so there is still significant scope for further uptake. As identified by the Offender Health Research Network, the purpose, process and eligibility for MHTRs should be described by the Ministry of Justice and Department of Health in collaboration.
22 Magistrates and judges might also require additional training to raise awareness of the use of MHTRs attached to community sentences, though emphasis should be on their availability and inclusion in pre-sentence reports.
7. Women At the end of March 2018, 1,250 women were in prison for non-violent offences - either theft, fraud or drug offences.23 Serious concerns have properly been raised about the necessity of custodial sentences for such women, when the vast majority could serve a sentence in the community without posing a threat to public safety. It is alarming that any woman is imprisoned in 2018 for TV licence non-payment.
Of the 852 women sentenced to prison for drug offences since 2016, 240 were sentenced to three years or more.24 This small group aside, there remain 1,000 women imprisoned for non-violent offences whose sentence could better be served in the community, saving £28.5m.
21 Durcan, G. (2016) Mental health and criminal justice: Views from consultations across England & Wales, London: Centre for Mental Health. 22 Offender Health Research Network (2011) Alternatives to Custody for People with Mental Health Problems, Offender Health Research Network, Manchester: OHRN.
23 Table 1.2b, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice.
24 Offence Outcomes data tool, Ministry of Justice (2018) Criminal Justice System statistics quarterly: December 2017, London: Ministry of Justice.
CJA member Women in Prison’s 2020 campaign – to halve the women’s prison population to 2,020 (or fewer) by 2020 – highlights how alternatives to custody such as Women’s Centres and community support services result in lower reoffending rates than prison. Further, sending a woman to prison for a short period of time can have a significant impact not only on the woman herself, but also on any dependent children, which in turn can lead to additional costs needing to be funded by the state, such as foster care. In order to effect this change, sentencing guidelines would need to be amended and steps taken to address funding of women’s services, particularly Women’s Centres. We welcome the pledge in the Female Offender Strategy to commit £5 million to community provision for women to address offending behaviour.
25 However, there are serious concerns that this is an insufficient amount to achieve the strategy’s aims. Moreover, it is a pittance in comparison to the £50 million originally earmarked for the now scrapped plan to build five community prisons.
As of March 2018, there were 500 women serving sentences of less than 12 months.26 These women would almost certainly be better rehabilitated in the community with access to appropriate treatment and without disrupting existing housing or childcare arrangements. This would save £14.3m.
8. BAME people
If the demographic of the prison population reflected that of England and Wales, there would – as noted recently in David Lammy’s review of black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) representation in the Criminal Justice System – be 9,000 fewer BAME people imprisoned, the equivalent of 12 average-sized prisons. If just ten per cent of these were diverted, this would save 900 prison places with (net) savings of £25.7m.
As highlighted in the Review, one of the reasons for this disproportionality may be the association between ethnic group and likelihood of receiving a custodial sentence. Black people are 53 per cent more likely than white people to be sent to prison for an indictable offence at the Crown Court.27
Lammy also highlighted the need for increased trust in the criminal justice system amongst BAME defendants, who were found to be more likely to opt for trial in Crown Court due to their higher confidence in the fairness of juries than in the fairness of the Magistrates’ Court.
It recommended sensibly that all sentencing remarks in the Crown Court be published, to make justice more transparent and comprehensible, thereby building trust. Similarly, CJA member Centre for Justice Innovation advised that to improve the criminal court experience for BAME defendants, judges, magistrates and court staff should be trained in better courtroom engagement.
Other recommendations in the Lammy Review include the CPS considering its approach to both gang prosecutions and to how Modern Slavery legislation could be used to prevent the exploitation of vulnerable young people and for identifying information to be redacted from case information passed to the CPS by the police to allow for ‘race-blind’ decisions. The 35 recommendations of the Review, if implemented, could significantly reduce the numbers of BAME people in prison.
25 Ministry of Justice (2018) Female Offender Strategy [Cm 9624], London: Ministry of Justice. 26 Table 1.1, Ministry of Justice (2018) Offender Management Statistics quarterly: October to December 2017, Prison population: 31 March 2018, London: Ministry of Justice. 27 Hopkins, K. et al (2016) Associations between ethnic background and being sentenced to prison in the Crown Court in England and Wales in 2015, London: Ministry of Justice.
Year-on-year savings for a reduced prison population across eight key cohorts
Cohort 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 Savings (cum.)
IPP 459 1635 2500 2500 £202.2m
Recall 750 1500 2250 3000 £231.8m
Remand 400 800 1100 1400 £105.5m
Sentence lengths 0 0 2000 2000 £114m
Short sentences* 750 1500 2000 2000 £178.1m
Mental health* 500 1000 1500 2000 £142.5m
Women* 250 500 750 1000 £71.3m
BAME* 300 500 700 900 £68.4m
Total* 2709 6060 10750 12075
Savings
(Cumulative)
£77.2m
(£77.2m)
£172.7m
(£249.9m)
£306.4m
(£556.3m)
£344.1m
£900.4m)
* All adjusted to account for overlap – recommendations for mental health and for around half of women identified would be encompassed by a presumption against sentences of less than 12 months. To allow for overlap for BAME people across the other cohorts listed here [such figures are not available from HMPPS or the Ministry of Justice] the figure reduced by one quarter.
endsWorkings
1. The cost per prison place for 2016/17 was £38,042.
2. The costs per probation place over the course of a year can be estimated at £3,240 – the MoJ spent £850m on probation services in 2016/17 and there were 262,000 people on probation in June 2017.
3. This cost will naturally fluctuate depending on any requirements attached to a community-based sentence. The National Audit Office assessed the costs of eight different requirements across five probation areas, finding costs varied from £561 to £5,064 depending on location and requirement (stand-alone supervision being the cheapest, mental health treatment being the most expensive).
4. If we take the high end of this range - £5,000 – and provide leeway for inflation, additional investment in community-based alternatives, differences in length of community sentences against custodial sentences and costs relating to supervising some people through the use of electronic tags* it is reasonable to expect that, on average, community supervision would be no more than a quarter of the current cost of imprisonment - £9,510.
5. The savings figures in the table are therefore calculated by multiplying the number of prison places by 38,000 and multiplying again by 0.75.
*A note on Home Detention Curfew
The cost of HDC is significantly lower than a prison sentence: for example, research from Scotland in 2011 has found that it costs £6,552 per year for an individual to be on HDC (compared with the cost of a prison sentence in Scotland of £31,720), and NAO in 2006 found it costs £5,272. Accounting for inflation and additional costs relating to investment in community based systems, the cost of HDC would reasonably fall within the estimate we have given of a quarter of the current cost of imprisonment.
john isn't alone. There are more humane, practical and effective alternatives that we could and should be using.Help end this. Simply
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They have no idea when they will be freed. Some are held for 10 years over tariff. Indefinite detention devastates people’s mental health and tears families and communities apart
Its About Time to end indefinite detention and MPs must make this a priority.
Its About Time to end indefinite detention and MPs must make this a priority.
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No accountability: who is responsible for rising number of prison deaths
As lawyers acting for bereaved families, we want those responsible for prison deaths to be held properly accountable, write Kate Maynard and Helen Stone.
For families trying to obtain accountability for the death of their loved one in custody, justice is getting harder to come by. In the past, bereaved families would pursue the Ministry of Justice for its failure to protect the life of their relative. Now, as the Ministry of Justice increasingly contracts out custodial services, the presence of multiple private and public bodies in each prison and detention facility is making accountability more difficult to achieve.You can read Hardeep Matharu on prison suicides on the Justice Gap here
Responsibility for a preventable death can be dispersed among the many actors who have come into contact with the deceased, increasing the risk that lessons will not be learned.
Preventable deaths raising the same issues continue to occur in prisons and immigration detention centres around the country.
Individuals passing through the system will come into contact with a variety of actors responsible for their welfare.
A typical case might involve a young man who, after experiencing a psychotic episode in a public setting, is imprisoned. On reception in custody he should be screened by a nurse working for a primary health care provider, run by an NHS Trust. He will probably be referred to a secondary health provider, run by a private company. He may be referred to a self-employed GP, before being assessed by a psychiatrist employed by an agency or a different NHS (Mental Health) Trust.
In the chaotic and frightening prison environment, the individual’s mental health deteriorates.
He makes cries for help, telling staff he intends to harm himself and begging to be moved to a healthcare wing. Staff identify him as a suicide risk but fail to act appropriately to ensure his safety. There is often poor communication between the various agencies and he is not referred for assessment by mental health staff, or he is assessed and wrongly deemed not to be at risk. Weeks after entering the prison, the individual dies as a consequence of a self-inflicted wound. He has been dead for some time before he is discovered. To harm himself, he used an object that should not have been in his cell, which prison staff failed to remove.
In this scenario, all those responsible for the prisoner’s welfare seem to have failed in their duty to protect his life. Despite these serious failures, those responsible can frequently avoid being held to account.
Establishing criminal liability raises issues of causation. The involvement of multiple actors makes it hard to show that any single individual or body is responsible for the failure to protect life. Very few private companies or NHS trusts are charged with corporate manslaughter, which requires causation to be proved. Health and safety prosecutions are more common but can seem not to reflect the seriousness of the wrongdoing. Disturbingly, whilst private contractors can be prosecuted under the Health and safety at Work Act, the Ministry of Justice is immune from prosecution.
Inquests offer a more promising avenue for discovering the truth and obtaining accountability. In their conclusions, inquest juries can identify the failures that more than minimally caused or contributed to a death. Additionally, coroners have the power to issue reports aimed at preventing future deaths.
These can contain strong criticism and recommendations for improvement, providing families with hope that the organisations receiving them will confront their failings and act on them to avoid similar deaths. Reports to prevent future deaths have been issued to prisons, NHS trusts, the Home Office, police forces and private companies such as Care UK and G4S. However, organisations responsible for the welfare of prisoners are typically resistant to change.
Since October 2015, at least four preventing future deaths reports, each relating to a different death, were issued to G4S. The reports of abuse of detainees perpetrated by G4S staff at Brook House immigration detention centre last year suggest that G4S has done little to improve its approach. Despite this, the government recently renewed G4S’s contract to run Brook House.
With neither the criminal nor inquest process adequately equipped to sanction companies that repeatedly fail to protect life, we can find ourselves explaining to the parents of the deceased that, although every organisation responsible for their child failed to protect his life, there will be no proper accountability or change. The chance to prevent further unnecessary deaths is often a bereaved family’s only comfort.
Suing for damages is the last recourse for families seeking to make a company acknowledge wrongdoing. The solution is inadequate: damages do not reflect the value of a life and are small change for a multinational contractor.
Where responsibilities are contracted out, liability can be spread and suing multiple defendants is always unattractive and fraught with costs risks for a bereaved family.
When the odds are stacked against accountability and the government has a habit of rewarding companies that fail to protect life, what can be done?
Currently, companies and public bodies that oversee the running of prisons or prison healthcare can repeatedly fail to ensure that service providers communicate with one another well enough to protect the lives of prisoners without facing serious financial or criminal sanctions.
The duty to protect life under article 2 of the European Convention is especially strong in detention settings, where prisoners are entirely at the mercy of the State. The Ministry of Justice can contract out prison services but not its Article 2 obligations to ensure that sufficient safeguards exist to protect life.
When awarding contracts, the Ministry of Justice could assign ultimate responsibility for healthcare within a prison to a single organisation. This would allow for one organisation to be vicariously liable when mistakes are made by smaller providers. Penalty clauses should also be included in contracts for prison services, providing for significant fines in the event that the contractor is identified by a court as having failed to protect life. Repeated failures should be met with higher fines and contracts rescinded.
The large public and private bodies that run prison services have the ability to better protect the lives of prisoners. It is time they were compelled to use it.
Author: Kate Maynard and Helen StoneKate and Helen specialise in actions against the Ministry of Justice and police, representing bereaved families at inquests into deaths in custody and representing victims of crime failed by the justice system
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"At the moment there is a very, very flawed system when it comes to ensuring that there is an accountable way of learning from the deaths."This sends out a very ‘disturbing message’ to victims and families, that they ‘don’t count’.
Alexandra Genova
IPP documentary
Is doing research in preparation for a documentary on IPP looking for people and families who are effected by it. I have been in contact with her and she is very interested in people's stories and the more individual harrowing stories that can be exposed to the public regards the prolonged imprisonment of people really suffering under this IPP the better!
Alexandra Genova alex.genova78@gmail.com
https://you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/free-the-remaining-ipp-prisoners
http://www.thejusticegap.com/2018/05/no-accountability-who-is-responsible-for-rising-number-of-prison-deaths/http://criminaljusticealliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Prison-Population-FINAL-0718-1.pdf
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